Posted by Leland Crooks [ 64.254.37.81 ] on March 07, 2006 at 21:02:34:
In Reply to: Re: Rudy Giuliani for President posted by manualblock on March 07, 2006 at 18:40:06:
Not exactly, but the incidence is high enough to be significant. One of his most telling statistics is examining the five states that legalized abortion 2 yrs before RVW. Between 88 and 94 their crime rate fell 13% compared to the other 45. Between 94 and 97 their murder rates fell 23% compared to the others. New York was one of the early adopters. He does control for all the other factors such as policing, jails and such. States with the highest abortion rates experienced the highest drops in crime. 15-20 yrs later.
His beginning example is Romania. Ceausescu outlawed abortion in 1966, from one of the most liberal abortion laws in the world. 23 yrs later he was executed in an uprising led by, teenagers and college students.
It's an outrageous claim, and when you read it in it's entirety, utterly stunning. But in the cold world of economics, the facts are facts, whether morally right or wrong.
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